Wow, talk about a close field of horses based on the Rogue Ratings™ computer program velocity and early speed numbers in this Derby! Can you say, “Wide open betting race”?…I certainly can!
What the Rogue Ratings™ computer program does for you very accurately is two things, first it measures the motor of the horses through velocity numbers (lower the number the better) and second, it outlines the race shape with early speed numbers projections (higher the number mean more early speed) of which horses look to run early, mid and late in the Derby. This is sophisticated information not possessed by the public or public handicappers!
Here below is the Rogue Ratings™ computer program projections for the 143rd Kentucky Derby via your mobile device.
Churchill Downs – Kentucky Derby-G1 – Race #12
1 1/4mile-Dirt – Post time 6:46pm EST
*View of the Rogue Ratings computer program from your cell phone showing page 1 & page 2 for the Kentucky Derby. For more information on or to purchase the Rogue Ratings™ computer program can be found at RogueHandicapper.com and RogueRatings.com. This product was created and developed by the Rogue Handicapper® to help new fans and novice horseplayers to win now without having to spend years or decades as was required in the past.
The Derby Is a Race to Bet
The Rogue Handicapper® knows the best way to bet the Derby is to “go big or go home” because all the ingredients for making a nice “score” in one race present its self in this famous horse race…big time!
Starting from the big field of horses (20 in gate usually) to extra-large betting amounts (not normally found daily at the track) of public money (uninformed bettors) being bet on the Derby all add up to a betting event you should wager on. My own mindset is to attack the trifecta and superfecta in the Kentucky Derby.
Rogue Handicapper® Trifecta & Superfecta Betting Tips for the Derby
The misconception of the casual horse racing fan is that you need to be exact in making your trifecta bets to get to the cashier windows…this is not so and I will show you what I mean! Meaning that the best way to help increase your chances of winning on the trifecta (picking the first three finishers in exact order) is to select one or two key horses (to use as your main selections/ keys) to finish in the top three positions of the trifecta and to put the other horses you pick as additional contenders around those key selections in each spot.
So, this way you have your additional horses crisscrossed or partly wheeled around your key horses and if one of your key horses run 1st, 2nd or 3rd and two of your other contenders run in any one of the top three spots (with no opinion on your part where, just as long as they get there) you will win your trifecta wager…this is a very clever wagering strategy and I hope you will agree?
When betting the superfecta, you can just adjust the betting strategy that I’ve outlined for you above. For example, choosing to use only one key horse in all four spots or if you do use two key horses then I would recommend limiting the number of spots that you use them as this will help reduce the cost of your superfecta ticket…note, adding additional spots to bet your key horse(s) will greatly increase the cost of your superfecta ticket.
The Rogue Handicapper® Analysis of the Rogue Ratings™ for the 143rd Kentucky Derby
The #11-Battle of Midway (30-1) is the projected Speed Horse *S* highlighted in red which is the best early speed horse with the lowest velocity number.
The #6-State of Honor (30-1) is one of a couple of projected Rogue Squared *R2* highlighted in purple is the next best outlier horse with a low velocity number.
The #7-Girvin (15-1) is one of a couple of projected Rogue Squared *R2* highlighted in purple is the next best outlier horse with a low velocity number.
The #9-Irap (20-1) is one of a couple of projected Rogue Squared *R2* highlighted in purple is the next best outlier horse with a low velocity number.
The #15-McCraken (5-1) is the projected Key Horse *K* highlighted in blue is the best off the pace horse with a low velocity number.
So now, if your looking for another horse or even another key horse to include into your exotic betting for the Derby the #5-Always Dreaming (5-1) fits well! He looks to get a great Race Shape set-up(pace & racing position) that looks to put him possibly in the mix at the wire.
Rogue Handicapper® advice for constructing Rogue Ratings™ betting ticket(s):
TRIFECTA TICKETS
Trifecta ticket(s) with one key horse(#15), with five contenders:
$1.00 Trifecta bet 15/ 5-6-7-9-11/ 6-7-9-11 =$20.00 cost
$1.00 Trifecta bet 5-6-7-9-11/ 15/ 6-7-9-11 =$20.00 cost
$1.00 Trifecta bet 5-6-7-9-11/ 6-7-9-11/ 15 =$20.00 cost
$60.00 total costs of all three trifecta tickets
*By added the extra key horse(#5) as your second key horse in your Trifecta ticket bets, with five contenders brings the cost of each ticket to $20,00 for a total of $60.00 to cover all three spots in the trifecta…simply put, it just doubles the cost of all your trifecta wagers.
SUPERFECTA TICKETS
Superfecta ticket(s) with one key horse(#15), with five contenders:
$ Superfecta bet 15/ 5-6-7-9-11/ 5-6-7-9-11/5-6-7-9-11 =$60.00 cost
$ Superfecta bet 5-6-7-9-11/ 15/ 5-6-7-9-11/ 5-6-7-9-11=$60.00 cost
$120.00 total cost if keying in two spots
*By added the extra key horse(#5)as your second key horse on your Superfecta ticket will bring your cost to $60.00 per spot to cover the two spots for a total of $120.00…once again, it just doubles the cost of all your superfecta tickets.
Superfecta ticket(s):
$ Superfecta bet 15/ 5-6-7-9-11/ 5-6-7-9-11/ 5-6-7-9-11 =$60.00 cost
$ Superfecta bet 5-6-7-9-11/ 15/ 5-6-7-9-11/ 5-6-7-9-11 =$60.00 cost
$ Superfecta bet 5-6-7-9-11/ 5-6-7-9-11/ 15/5- 6-7-9-11 =$60.00 cost
$ Superfecta bet 5-6-7-9-11/ 5-6-7-9-11/ 5-6-7-9-11/ 15 =$60.00 cost
$240.00 total cost if keying in all four spots
*By adding the extra key horse(#5) on your Superfecta ticket will cost $60.00 per spot to cover the five spots for a total of $240.00….it just doubles all your Superfecta ticket cost.
I hope this betting outline and strategy helps you on Derby Day and every day you bet at the track. As always may the Rogue Ratings™ velocity number be with you!
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